Topic · 4 briefings
All verified GRRI analysis filed under Supply-chain risk.
Jakarta has already said smallholders cannot monitor Union sanctions in real time. ASEAN tenure gaps will decide who remains in EU palm, rubber and coffee offtake — and leakage studies warn that exclusion does not halt forest conversion.
In May 2025 Nairobi suspended Rainforest Alliance tea audits because factories and farmers were carrying the bill. The UK takes only about eight percent of Kenya’s tea exports. EU and UK buyer due diligence still expects a file — the question is who finances it.
European farm SMEs face a €62bn annual finance gap while blended and private-credit stacks for regenerative transition finally appear. The mismatch is tenor and trust — not a shortage of climate rhetoric. Origin-held cluster files are the underpriced asset.
West African cocoa already faces drought and rainfall extremes that threaten yields. The EUDR maps that will police those same landscapes cannot tell shade-grown agroforestry from the forest beside it — and Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire have already shown the plot-level alternative.